An indicator update sounds like housekeeping. This one is not. The Moxie price signal arrows you have been reading for years are still there, and sitting next to them now is a second signal that used to live only in my head: the trampoline trigger, printed right on your chart. Here is the mechanic. When … Read more
I am recording this one from San Francisco, where I am teaching my 2 hour master class at the MoneyShow. It turns out this is a pretty good week to be traveling, because we are stuck in a sideways market that is doing a whole lot of nothing. On the surface, the S&P 500 looks … Read more
Most people look at a chart and see green or red. What actually matters is whether price is still holding its moving averages, because that is the one thing separating a normal pullback from a trend that has quietly ended. Bitcoin is the cleanest example I have in front of me. For months, every bounce … Read more
What happens when a trade setup looks great, then completely falls apart? I am following up on five agricultural and commodity stocks I highlighted a few months ago and would like to see where they stand today. In this update, I revisit soybeans, wheat, corn, IPI, and CF to compare the original setups with what … Read more
If you only looked at the index, you would think the market just decided to rip to new all-time highs for no reason. That is not what happened. Underneath, roughly seven separate things resolved inside about five or six days, and each one removed a weight the market had been carrying for two months. FOMC … Read more
Most traders think they already understand leverage ETFs. Buy the 3x when you are bullish, buy the inverse when you are bearish, and expect roughly triple the move. Simple. The problem is that the funds do not actually work that cleanly, and the gap between what you expect and what you get is where accounts quietly bleed out. In this … Read more
The market keeps grinding and the S&P is still near its highs. Most investors assume the coast is clear, but the index level alone does not show you what is happening beneath it. Under the surface, the action is already turning. In this video, I break down how I read that turn using seasonality two … Read more
The market keeps printing all-time highs, so most investors assume the whole market is healthy and there is plenty of room left to run. The problem is that the index level alone does not show you how many stocks are actually doing the work. In this video, I break down how I look under the … Read more
A lot of investors are handed a list of 401k options and told to pick based on past performance, but that does not always give the full picture. In this video, I break down how I look at 401k and retirement account selections through a trader’s lens. Instead of only relying on one-year, three-year, five-year, … Read more
The market is still holding up well, but leadership may be starting to shift under the surface. In this video, I break down the rotation I’m watching between semiconductors and software, and why the recent weakness in names like AMD, SMH, MU, and others in the chip space may not necessarily mean the whole market … Read more