TG Watkins

LULU Up In A Sea Of Red

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I’m not sure how LULU managed to impress investors, but their stock is up big after earnings came out. Compare this to many other retail clothing tickers and it seems like more of a surprise. Can it last? Let’s take a look: Keep up with other stocks’ reactions after earnings. As this market keeps shifting, … Read more

Reversion To The Mean

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The SPY is continuing sideways and not giving much evidence for which way it will head next. Many large tech names, like Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL), are overbought and show signs of flagging or pulling back soon. On the other side, we have the financials and small caps, which got oversold and look like … Read more

Heavy FOMC Day

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As usual, the FOMC brought volatility. This then led to the markets tanking at the end of the day. Can the markets absorb this or is this the next shoe to drop and send the markets lower? Many names have been able to catch bullishness while the indexes went sideways, but that doesn’t mean the … Read more

Eyes on FOMC

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This Wednesday is the Federal Market Committee (FOMC), and it seems traders are holding their breath and positions to start the week. There were quite a few moves to wrap up last week with options expiration (OPEX). Prices needed to settle down a bit. Federal chairman Jerome Powell is speaking on Wednesday. Will he raise … Read more

Rates/Tech vs Recession/Oil

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A tug-of-war is going on within tech. The sector likes the lower rates, but how long can it stay elevated in the face of the falling energy sector? A falling energy sector tends to signal a recession and a shrinking economy, which can negatively affect tech. Let’s take a look: Keep an eye on energy … Read more

Rock and a Hard Place

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The banking system is under pressure from the rate hikes, but inflation is still sticky. It will be interesting to see where CPI is tomorrow and how the Fed will handle any further rate hikes (or not). The energy sector was very heavy today, but technology bounced back a bit. Let’s take a look: Stay … Read more

Volume At Lows

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In this video I review a few exchange traded funds on the higher time frames. You can see there is a lot of volume coming into them and they don’t seem to want to go much lower. This doesn’t mean they have to go bullish, but we should keep context in mind to balance out … Read more

Mutual Funds Going Up?

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I was reviewing some historical mutual fund performance and I think we all know this as traders – the market tends to do well after pullbacks and corrections. Well, maybe 2022 was the bear pullback that laid the foundation for a positive 2023. Lets see what this example shows us: Just a quick note, I … Read more

First Turn Off Low

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Just a quick note, I presented a “Bull/Bear Market” update in the Simpler Trading Free Trading Room. Be sure to watch the recording of the webinar with lots of material to learn from in this market Today I want to point out VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB). I … Read more

Closing Out February

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One more day ‘till February is in the books and as long as the market doesn’t implode, it will probably stay over the monthly 10-day moving average (MA). This MA has been a line in the sand for me. The fact that the market is closing over this MA means there is some positivity. Of … Read more