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When the SPYder Senses Tingle

July 23, 2020

Hey Market Pilots,This Market has been amazing when moving up, and disastrous when pulling back. Great positions and tickers will suddenly implode on you and go negative in your account if you aren’t proactive about profits and exits. Just ask me how I know. But there are a few key metrics that I have picked up and now rely on in this Fed fueled market to help protect me and keep my account ratcheting up. Because of those tools, my spidey senses are tingling and we should be trading with … Read more

SPCE: up 52% in 17 days

July 20, 2020

Hey Market Pilots, This write up is about how you may have to strike more than once to get the right entry and then how it became one of the my most picture perfect setups of July. Back on June 22nd, SPCE broke news of them getting some contract from NASA and its volume went from about 10 million shares to 53 million shares. Something serious was up so I notified the Moxie subscribers about going in. The idea was to catch an explosive momentum move. Well, that didn’t happen. … Read more

Three reasons the market rallied after massive drop

July 16, 2020

Hey Market Pilots, This week began quite nicely with the market opening with a gap up on Monday the 13th. However, that elation and satisfaction was short-lived and brutally squashed by a massive liquidation break in the middle of the day. Few were spared but tech got hit the hardest. Let me show you a few insights which kept me from panicking or going short. First, on the day of the liquidation break, the internals were not supporting the move. With such a huge move in the market, you would … Read more

Learning to anticipate the market

July 13, 2020

Hey Market Pilots, On June 30th I wrote a piece about the SPY coming into the Daily 50 SMA and how we know when the bounce would be confirmed. I described how price can sometimes bounce exactly off a moving average or push a little past it before moving up. For my style of trading, I look at the lower time frames to see how that bounce is going to develop.  In the previous article I specified what I wanted to see from the charts in order to confirm the … Read more

Account size doesn’t matter

July 9, 2020

Hey Market Pilots, New traders often ask me how much money do they need to have to be able to trade. My first answer is “none” because I suggest they paper trade before using real money. If for no other reason than to learn how to use the platform and avoid pushing the wrong button. I speak from experience because when I was in college, I was guilty of pushing the wrong button which cost me more than I would like to admit. The other reason to start with paper … Read more

SPY double bottom bounce

July 6, 2020

Hey Market Pilots, Last week we had an exact double bottom bounce, which also coincided with a bounce off the Daily 50 SMA. This made for a very strong 4-day run into the 4th of July holiday, giving us traders fireworks of our own. The setup was also boosted by good economic numbers that came out Thursday morning, but the charts said price was too extended and therefore faded towards the end of the day. Now, where do we go? My expected behavior of the market after a bullish holiday … Read more

Want independence via trading?

July 2, 2020

Hey Market Pilots, Happy (almost) 4th of July! This holiday is all about America’s independence as its own country, making decisions for the promise of a better future. Sound familiar? It should. Most traders around the globe are attracted to the markets for the same reason: independence. More to the point, we want to be self-sufficient and provide for our own in a way that we determine is best. But this is easier said than done.  In search for independence, each trader has his own journey with ups and downs. … Read more

Bounce off the 50 Anatomy

June 30, 2020

The drop right after the June 10th FOMC meeting was fairly obvious for me to see and Moxie subscribers were able to take advantage. We took off most long positions and then went long UVXY for some insurance which turned out to pay handsomely. The market is now testing that low again, but this time the Daily 50 SMA is involved.  What does this mean and where do we go from here? Typical price action would suggest that the SPY should bounce off its Daily 50 SMA since the moving … Read more

Stock Market DVR

June 29, 2020

Hey Market Pilots, How is a new trader supposed to learn to trade other than looking at historical charts or experiencing it live, one day at a time? In the old days, these were the only two options and while studying historical charts has been the most common, I believe it presents some gaps when it comes to how we as humans learn. Learning how to trade in real-time has its own issues. Mainly being too slow as you have to let each day or minute go by in order … Read more

Right stock, wrong time

June 25, 2020

Hey Market Pilots, You can be right on a stock, but wrong on the timing. And sometimes things just happen that you have no control over no matter how good the setup is… Let me explain what I mean.  One particular trade that comes to mind recently is QTT and my favorite Moxie Trampoline setup. I took a trade the other week on QTT because my rules were fulfilled and the chart looked worthy of an attempt. This was even during one of my live trading sessions so I was … Read more

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