Scan For Trades

Today I will show you a quick overview of how to scan with the Moxie Indicator™ and ways that it can help you find stocks in the type of conditions we are looking for in this holiday market. Let’s get a mix of scans: Expect more uncertainty as the stock market moves toward the end … Read more

Inverse Trampoline

Last week’s giant U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) move put the indexes into what I call “Inverse Trampoline” moves. This is when price is over the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and the Moxie Indicator™ is below zero. This is a bearish signal that followed through after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) event midweek. … Read more

Prep For ‘Refresh’

Less active market during a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday than what we normally see. Perhaps the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) took its thunder the day before? The market has shown signs of getting stronger, but I am looking for a pullback or “refresh” to help kick it off. Let’s take … Read more

Laying Low

Tuesday we have the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers coming out and then Wednesday is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. While most of us have expectations of what is coming, the reaction of the market will be what is important and telling. Going into these reports I am laying low and only … Read more

‘Head On A Swivel’

Based on my typical Moxie Indicator™ price patterns, I would expect the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) to head to its daily 50-day simple moving average (SMA). After that, we need to assess whether the market is bullish or bearish. The bullish case could be that the slowing of interest rate hikes news kicks … Read more

Line In The Sand

Ever since the bear market started, I have been using the monthly 10-day simple moving average (SMA) as a guideline. If the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is under it, we are bearish. If over, bullish. Well, with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comment last week about slowing benchmark interest rate hikes at the … Read more

Market Flares On Fed

The market on Wednesday took Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comment about slowing rate hikes to 50 basis points at the December meeting as the path to easier monetary conditions and reacted strongly bullish. The Volatility Index (VIX) and the ProShares Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF (UVXY) are in areas that I would expect … Read more

Follow Holiday Sales

It’s that time of the year where we open our wallets and purses and spend for the holiday sales. But does holiday spending activity affect the market in a way that we can take advantage of as traders? Let’s take a look at some numbers and historical trends to see what might unfold this year. … Read more

VIX and SPY Correlation

Let’s go back this year and look at how the Volatility Index (VIX) and the S&P 500 (SPY) have lined up. The correlation is pretty strong, plus the lower trendline on the VIX has done well. This indicates to me that you need to be very careful on the long side. The final quarter of … Read more

Overbought Burn Off?

The market got really overbought from the straight up two-day move after a cooler U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. I have been expecting the market to pull back or flag in order to fix that condition, and it seems we are getting that. I am not sure how much further up it will go … Read more