The AI trade keeps running into walls. First it was chips, then memory, then power, and now it comes down to one small part inside every gas turbine. That is why I have been digging into SpaceX turbine blades and what they could mean for the whole power trade. Why SpaceX Turbine Blades Matter Now … Read more
Every week we rotate through the traders at Simpler Trading for the members-only weekly watch list, and this week it was my turn. I’m sharing it here because the theme ties right into my weekend review: extremes lead to reversion. Let’s take a deeper look at the mean reversion trade I’m watching and the setups … Read more
Bitcoin and gold look like two separate stories on the surface. Lay the weekly charts on top of each other, though, and they keep taking turns. Here is the Bitcoin vs gold correlation I have been talking about in interviews and in the Moxie room I was doing an interview earlier this week with a … Read more
Every time I talk about leveraged ETFs, someone tells me they decay. That’s not quite right. They don’t decay like an option does. What actually hurts them is leveraged ETF slippage, and it shows up on the way up and on the way down. These funds reset every day. They use derivatives, options and futures … Read more
The market has been looking stronger since mid last week, and if you caught my last two weekend videos, you saw me pointing at bottoming patterns before it started to move. On Monday, Amazon finally joined in. After a long pullback, it printed a green Moxie price trigger, with positive divergence on the Moxie Indicator … Read more
Every trader has had this moment. You are in a good position, price starts sliding, it breaks the level you were leaning on, and you have no idea whether you are watching a pause or the top. I spent years getting that call wrong in both directions. What changed it for me was having something … Read more
Most people picture the trading life as screens. Six monitors, coffee, someone glued to a chair from the open to the close. That was not my week, and that is really the point of this video. My dad and I flew out to Montana on Saturday morning to spend a few days with a friend … Read more
The Clarity Act failed its cloture vote in the Senate on Tuesday, 49 to 50, well short of the 60 votes required. Formal debate never even started. That was the market structure legislation crypto bulls were counting on to put some wind behind the group, and it is not happening this week. The headline is … Read more
I got my first look at a stock chart standing next to my dad after he got home from work. High school is when I started taking it seriously, and I started my own trading education company at 30. Twenty plus years later, there are three things I would go back and tell that version … Read more
An indicator update sounds like housekeeping. This one is not. The Moxie price signal arrows you have been reading for years are still there, and sitting next to them now is a second signal that used to live only in my head: the trampoline trigger, printed right on your chart. Here is the mechanic. When … Read more